The Republican Party seeks desperately how to stop Trump

The establishment also has fifteen days before the Florida primary, to find the formula to avoid the nomination

The Republican Party burn the last cartridges to prevent Donald Trump gets to be the candidate in the November presidential election. After winning in most States that were at stake in the Super Tuesday primaries, the nacionalpopulista Trump, a billionaire with a conservative tradition outside the US message, is closer to the Republican nomination. But it lacks enough delegates. Resistance in the party apparatus and the bases, is strong. His opponents, desperate, they want to take the battle to the convention that will crown the candidate in July.

Typically in the process of primaries and caucuses (elective assemblies) used to elect candidates presidential US is that parties close ranks with the favorite when it is clear that there is no weight rivals. Under normal circumstances, this would be the time for Republicans to accept that Trump will be the candidate. Rivals begin to abandon the race and donors and strategists urge you to focus on the presidential race against Democrat candidate.

But this year nothing is normal in the campaign for the White House. The Trump phenomenon-a New York billionaire known for its skyscrapers, reality shows, his unbridled ego, his conspiracy theories and impossible hairstyle breaks the laws of political gravity.

When he announced his candidacy for the Republican nomination in June, nobody took him seriously, starting with the Republican Party. Now its leaders discovered horrified that Trump-a foul-mouthed and disrespectful, chauvinistic and xenophobic man, which blends extreme right rhetoric on illegal immigrants and economic positions near the left Sindical is at the gates of the nomination.

Republican apparatus, the famous establishment, does not have a script that tells you how to react. For months he confided, like most observers, that Trump would deflate. His outbursts, insults and jeers immigrants, Muslims, women, the disabled and prisoners of war have settled the race of any other politician.

Succession of victories

The succession of victories since a month ago started the primary process triggered the alarm. In the last week, his rivals went on the offensive. For the first time they questioned his personal integrity and business success. They repudiated their ambiguity to racist groups like the Ku Klux Klan.

He led the assault Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, son of Cuban faithful to the republican tradition in foreign policy and economy: the ideal candidate if the party wanted to open a less Anglo and Latino diverse country. But Rubio, last hope of the establishment, stringing defeat after defeat. And the other alternative, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, displeases some sectors Republicans almost as much as Trump, for his ideological intransigence and even personal antipathy.

Trump victories in the Super Tuesday primaries with over-the day throughout the process- consolidate it as a favorite. In the coming days, the strategy of establishment may consist, first, to step up attacks with negative ads. So far, the big millionaires right, though attended with horror the rise of Trump, have refrained from embarrarse in the fight.

The Florida primary, on March 15, may be the last hope of salvation of Rubio faction: if Rubio does not win in their State, will be greatly weakened establishment and options will be reduced still further.

The device may attempt to postpone the nomination of Trump. The argument is mathematical. For although Trump has won 10 of 15 primaries and caucuses that have been held so far, it has only obtained 46% of the delegates were distributed and 34% of votes. That is, two-thirds of voters favor other candidates.

This means that if the rest of the party would unite to support a single candidate, perhaps could dispute the nomination Trump. But this would require Trump abandon rivals, and neither Rubio nor Cruz are willing to do.

A new party

Few believe as possible defeat Trump during the primary process, but prevent it from reaching the convention with a majority of delegates. That is, it could happen that would have won the majority of States and that no candidate had more delegates than he, but the figure was less than half plus one. At the convention, a front anti-Trump defeat.

The third option discussed by some Republican politicians and opinion leaders is to form a third party in the event that Trump is the Republican nominee or directly vote for the Democratic favorite, Hillary Clinton, as a lesser evil.

Oblivious to these agonizing disquisitions, Trump modulates its message. In the victory speech on Tuesday night in Palm Beach (Florida), he shirked his main topic, immigration, and focused on the damage that international trade has caused the middle classes. He listed a number of companies have closed their factories to open them in developing countries. He regretted that the US has forgotten the middle class. And he presented himself as a businessman who create jobs as has never been seen.

It was a message to the working classes hit by recessions in decades and growing inequalities. An almost Democratic message, intended for the November presidential election in which, if finally he is the Republican nominee, is likely to face Democrat Hillary Clinton.

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